E-tailing in India has reached a tipping point.\u00a0 STORAI investigates.<\/b><\/p>\n
With more than 85% of the world shopping online, it\u2019s no longer a fad, even in developing markets like India. \u00a0\u00a0Worldwide retail web sales will reach nearly USD 1 trillion (Rs 60 lakh cr) by 2013, predicts Goldman Sachs. While the US and Europe is mature brick and mortar markets, they will grow their online sales at 10% and 11% respectively – till 2017.<\/p>\n
<\/a><\/p>\n The Internet offers unlimited shelf space, is not constrained by operational timings and geographical boundaries. Most of the first time adopters of online shopping have been in Asia – fueled by China, Japan and Australia \u2013 the Asian market accounts for almost a third of global ecommerce spends. \u00a0(See Infographic Feature:\u00a0 RAI Insights on E-tailing)<\/p>\n India registers as a high potential market within Asia \u2013 it has a over 150 Mn active Internet users, is considered as\u00a0an \u2018app\u2019 superpower and has seen the fastest adoption of smart-phones in the world.<\/p>\n E-commerce in India is about USD 8.6bn (Rs 51,000 cr) and is expected to grow at 18% in 2013 (source IAMAI, E&Y) . \u00a0It is expected to contribute around 4% to IGDP by 2020. Yet, with numbers like these Jeff Bezos, Founder & CEO, Amazon says “The alarm clock hasn\u2019t gone off yet.\u201d<\/p>\n China had an internet penetration of 10% of the population in 2007 \u2013 which grew exponentially to 40% by 2012.\u00a0 India is expected to follow suite \u2013 current population penetration of the internet is just under 10%.\u00a0 Most experts believe that this puts India at the beginning of a growth curve.<\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n Key drivers for growth would be the wave of \u2018consumption\u2019 across the country, which so far, seems to be recession proof, as well as its young demographic. What could hold India back is the familiar refrain of poor infrastructure \u2013 research suggests that broadband speeds and dial up speeds are both a third lower than the rest of Asia on average.<\/p>\n Currently, FDI is not permitted in e-commerce.\u00a0 However companies such as Flipkart have used a \u201cmodular\u201d design by setting up separate companies for the technology platform, distribution and retail.\u00a0 While FDI is not permitted in ecommerce (i.e. B2C retail) ,\u00a0 it is permitted in market place companies (i.e. B2B) \u2013 example, Amazon, EBay .\u00a0 These are considered part of the wholesale, distribution and cash and carry segment.<\/p>\n The ecommerce market in India is dominated by online travel \u2013 which accounts for about 70% of the total market (Source: IAMAI). This is followed by online retailing (i.e. e-tailing) \u2013 which, at `10% has just tipped the USD 1 bn mark and is expected to grow at 20% (Source: E&Y), making it one of the fastest growth areas within Indian Retail.<\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n Structurally, the Indian ecommerce market differs from the rest of the world \u2013 in that it is dominated by travel.\u00a0 The graphic below shows the relative %ages of online visitors to retail and travel, comparing India with the world.\u00a0 In India, about 70% of online transactions are on travel (with the Indian railways site – irctc.co.in leading in traffic) whereas, globally retail sites draw relatively more traffic than travel sites.<\/p>\n Both online travel and e-tail have grown faster than other ecommerce categories in India. Retail category penetration has increased to 60% reach and has grown to 37.5 million unique visitors a month, an overall growth of 43% annually (Source: ComScore).<\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n Flipkart leads the way among the online retailers in India with 7.4 million unique visitors (\u201cuniques\u201d) a month, growing at 400% annually. Snapdeal has been close second with 6.9 million uniques. Jabong and Myntra have been competing closely in the lifestyle category with over 5.3 million uniques each. HomeShop18 has over 4 million uniques a month.<\/p>\n Multiple business models exist in the online arena \u2013 and there is overlap between them in terms of model design.<\/p>\n Three factors drive the design of the business model for ecommerce:<\/p>\n a.\u00a0\u00a0 Willingness to take inventory \/ supply chain risk: Inventory Model.<\/p>\n b. Strategic focus on Returns \/ Sizing<\/p>\n c. Payment options on offer.<\/p>\n Inventory costs are between 6 to 10% for e-tailers. The choice of the business model and inventory model \u2013 represent two key decision points which drive profitability and eventually, valuation.\u00a0 The two main inventory models are a \u201cstock and sell model\u201d versus a \u201cconsignment\u201d model.\u00a0 The former involves investment and inventory risk but provides better control; while the latter has lower entry barriers.<\/p>\nIndia at a tipping point<\/h2>\n
Regulations around ecommerce<\/h2>\n
Ecommerce market structure:<\/h2>\n
Online business models<\/h2>\n
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Inventory Models<\/h2>\n